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"Solar Polysilicon Industry Faces Turmoil Amidst Rising Conflict"

November 05, 2024

The demand for solar polysilicon raw materials continues to rise, prompting a flurry of activity among solar manufacturing companies in both the midstream and downstream sectors. Recently, several key players in the industry, including notable manufacturers, have engaged in significant procurement efforts. For instance, one company announced a substantial supply agreement with a major Chinese solar silicon producer, GCL-Poly, covering 664 megawatts of supply. However, not all companies are adopting the same strategy; one executive has indicated a cautious approach, predicting a 25-30% increase in polysilicon production next year and opting against long-term contracts due to a projected decline in prices over time.

In the spot market, silicon wafer prices have surged to approximately $70 per kilogram, with reports suggesting that prices could reach as high as $80 if demand continues to escalate in the fourth quarter. Industry analysts note that solar power plants are actively securing supply agreements to mitigate the risks associated with fluctuating raw material prices amid strong market demand.

Another company recently revealed that it had signed the second phase of long-term silicon wafer supply contracts with GCL, covering the period from October 2010 to December 2015, totaling around 664 megawatts. The contract includes a pricing mechanism that allows adjustments based on market conditions, which is expected to enhance the company's operational efficiency and profitability.

Conversely, another firm is taking a different approach, with minimal long-term contracts currently in place. The executive of this company cited the anticipated increase in production from several large manufacturers, suggesting an oversupply situation that would discourage long-term commitments. They expect that polysilicon prices will likely trend downward in the future.

Regarding the overall price dynamics within the solar energy sector, a chairman of a leading company recently remarked that the current gains in polysilicon prices have reached a level deemed reasonable, indicating a low likelihood of further increases.

Additionally, another company has recently secured a new contract with a solar energy firm, aiming to raise its proportion of contracted materials to over 30%. This company also maintains long-term arrangements in the spot market, with the average cost of polysilicon currently exceeding $50 per kilogram.

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